Rating change probabilities: An empirical analysis of sovereign ratings


Bachelor Thesis, 2012

48 Pages, Grade: 1,0


Excerpt


Contents

List of Figures

List of Tables

1 Introduction

2 Previous Literature

3 Agencies’ rating assessment
3.1 Rating Definitions and Methodology
3.2 Rating Transition Matrices

4 Ordered Probit Model
4.1 Mathematical Framework
4.2 Model parameters
4.3 Marginal effects

5 Data
5.1 Data summary
5.2 Independent Variables and direction of change
5.3 Choice of Variables

6 Estimation
6.1 Simple Ordered Probit Model
6.2 Random Effects Ordered Probit Model
6.3 Marginal Effects

7 Predicted Probabilities and Transition matrices
7.1 Predicted Probabilities
7.2 Unconditional Transition Matrices
7.3 Conditional Transition Matrices

8 Conclusion

Appendix

References

Excerpt out of 48 pages

Details

Title
Rating change probabilities: An empirical analysis of sovereign ratings
College
University of Mannheim
Grade
1,0
Author
Year
2012
Pages
48
Catalog Number
V231459
ISBN (eBook)
9783656470809
ISBN (Book)
9783656470823
File size
1026 KB
Language
English
Notes
Die Bachelorarbeit wurde mit dem 1. Platz beim Karrierepreis der DZ Bank Gruppe (2013) ausgezeichnet. Dies ist der höchstdotierte Hochschulpreis der Deutschen Wirtschaft für Akademische Abschlussarbeiten im Bereich "Banking &amp, Finance": www.karriere-preis.de
Keywords
Economics, Rating, Ordered Probit Model, Volkswirtschaftslehre, VWL, Finance, Econometrics, Statistik, Markov Chain, Transition Matrix, Ökonometrie, Banking
Quote paper
Alex Bergen (Author), 2012, Rating change probabilities: An empirical analysis of sovereign ratings, Munich, GRIN Verlag, https://www.grin.com/document/231459

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